Natales

Official CEAD data for Natales (Magallanes region) show a stable trend in reported crime incidence. The commune ranked 120 of 346 nationally in 2025, recording 5,699.5 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants.

Natales is one of the communes that make up the Magallanes region. Within the region, it holds regional rank 1, a position that reflects its incidence level relative to other communes in the same administrative area. Regional comparisons are particularly relevant because they account for shared socioeconomic conditions, urban density patterns, and local reporting infrastructure that may influence measured incidence across the region.

The reported incidence rate of Natales in 2025 is close to the per-capita national mean computed across non-low-population communes. The difference is within a narrow margin, suggesting that the commune's reported activity broadly tracks the national level for communes of comparable data quality.

Within Magallanes, Natales registers reported incidence moderately above the regional per-capita mean — roughly 24% higher in 2025. The commune's position within its region reflects both absolute incidence levels and the distribution of reported activity across other Magallanes communes.

In 2025, the leading category in Natales's reported crime profile was public-order incidents, which accounted for the largest share of total reported incidents. The second most prevalent category was crimes against persons. This composition reflects Natales's particular urban and socioeconomic characteristics. The CEAD breakdown covers seven crime families: crimes against persons, property crimes, violent robbery, public-order incidents, domestic violence, drug-related offenses, and weapons offenses. The relative weight of each category in the total rate is visible in the incidence-by-category chart above.

A useful reference point for contextualizing Natales's data is Panguipulli (Los Ríos), identified as the nearest comparable commune nationally based on reported incidence. In 2025, Panguipulli recorded approximately 5,729 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants, compared with 5,699.5 for Natales. The two communes share a similar incidence tier, making the comparison informative for understanding Natales's position relative to a concrete peer rather than an abstract national average. Panguipulli holds national rank 119 of 346.

Looking at the full CEAD time series, Natales recorded 6,136.9 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants in 2005. Since then, the reported rate has decreased, reaching 5,699.5 in 2025. The multi-year series is displayed in the sparkline chart above, which shows annual values from 2005 through 2025. The most recent year of partial data (if available) is shown at reduced opacity to indicate that the figure is not yet complete. Year-on-year fluctuations are normal and can reflect changes in recording practices, population estimates, or law enforcement priorities rather than changes in underlying behavior.

The data presented here are sourced from CEAD (Centro de Estudios y Análisis del Delito), the official Chilean body that compiles police-reported crime statistics. All figures represent reported incidents — actual incidence may differ due to under-reporting, which varies by crime type and territory. The 2025 rate of 5,699.5 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants for Natales reflects the most recent complete annual data available at the time of this publication. For more information on methodology and the rate-per-100,000 definition, see the methodology section.