San Pablo
Annual evolution (2005–present)
RisingReported incidence by crime category (2025)
Comparable commune (same region)
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See San Pablo on the interactive Chile crime map →Similar Communes in This Region
Communes in Los Lagos with similar reported CEAD incidence rates:
| Commune | Rate per 100k This figure counts police-reported incidents for every 100,000 people living in the area, allowing fair comparison between places of very different population sizes. Source: CEAD official police statistics. | National rank | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frutillar | 7.035 | #48 | Declining |
| Calbuco | 7.386 | #35 | Stable |
| Río Negro | 6.647 | #61 | Rising |
| Fresia | 6.589 | #62 | Declining |
| Osorno | 7.552 | #30 | Rising |
Rankings by Crime Type
San Pablo (Los Lagos region) registers a reported incidence rate that places it in the upper quarter of Chilean communes. The CEAD series reflects a rising trend, with 7,061.4 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants recorded in 2025 — national rank 47 of 346.
San Pablo is one of the communes that make up the Los Lagos region. Within the region, it holds regional rank 5, a position that reflects its incidence level relative to other communes in the same administrative area. Regional comparisons are particularly relevant because they account for shared socioeconomic conditions, urban density patterns, and local reporting infrastructure that may influence measured incidence across the region.
Compared with the per-capita national mean across Chilean communes, San Pablo registers reported incidence that is moderately above average — roughly 22% higher than the mean in 2025. While this signals elevated reported activity relative to the national baseline, the rate also reflects factors specific to the commune's urban context and population density.
Within Los Lagos, San Pablo's 2025 rate is close to the regional per-capita mean. The commune sits near the midpoint of its regional distribution, indicating that its reported incidence aligns broadly with the typical level for the region.
In 2025, the leading category in San Pablo's reported crime profile was public-order incidents, which accounted for the largest share of total reported incidents. The second most prevalent category was property crimes. This composition reflects San Pablo's particular urban and socioeconomic characteristics. The CEAD breakdown covers seven crime families: crimes against persons, property crimes, violent robbery, public-order incidents, domestic violence, drug-related offenses, and weapons offenses. The relative weight of each category in the total rate is visible in the incidence-by-category chart above.
A useful reference point for contextualizing San Pablo's data is Frutillar (Los Lagos), identified as the nearest comparable commune within the same region based on reported incidence. In 2025, Frutillar recorded approximately 7,035.5 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants, compared with 7,061.4 for San Pablo. The two communes share a similar incidence tier, making the comparison informative for understanding San Pablo's position relative to a concrete peer rather than an abstract national average. Frutillar holds national rank 48 of 346.
Looking at the full CEAD time series, San Pablo recorded 1,562.5 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants in 2005. Since then, the reported rate has increased, reaching 7,061.4 in 2025. The multi-year series is displayed in the sparkline chart above, which shows annual values from 2005 through 2025. The most recent year of partial data (if available) is shown at reduced opacity to indicate that the figure is not yet complete. Year-on-year fluctuations are normal and can reflect changes in recording practices, population estimates, or law enforcement priorities rather than changes in underlying behavior.
The data presented here are sourced from CEAD (Centro de Estudios y Análisis del Delito), the official Chilean body that compiles police-reported crime statistics. All figures represent reported incidents — actual incidence may differ due to under-reporting, which varies by crime type and territory. The 2025 rate of 7,061.4 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants for San Pablo reflects the most recent complete annual data available at the time of this publication. For more information on methodology and the rate-per-100,000 definition, see the methodology section.