San Rafael

Official CEAD data for San Rafael (Maule region) show a stable trend in reported crime incidence. The commune ranked 142 of 346 nationally in 2025, recording 5,341.8 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants.

San Rafael is one of the communes that make up the Maule region. Within the region, it holds regional rank 8, a position that reflects its incidence level relative to other communes in the same administrative area. Regional comparisons are particularly relevant because they account for shared socioeconomic conditions, urban density patterns, and local reporting infrastructure that may influence measured incidence across the region.

The reported incidence rate of San Rafael in 2025 is close to the per-capita national mean computed across non-low-population communes. The difference is within a narrow margin, suggesting that the commune's reported activity broadly tracks the national level for communes of comparable data quality.

Within Maule, San Rafael's 2025 rate is close to the regional per-capita mean. The commune sits near the midpoint of its regional distribution, indicating that its reported incidence aligns broadly with the typical level for the region.

In 2025, the leading category in San Rafael's reported crime profile was public-order incidents, which accounted for the largest share of total reported incidents. The second most prevalent category was property crimes. This composition reflects San Rafael's particular urban and socioeconomic characteristics. The CEAD breakdown covers seven crime families: crimes against persons, property crimes, violent robbery, public-order incidents, domestic violence, drug-related offenses, and weapons offenses. The relative weight of each category in the total rate is visible in the incidence-by-category chart above.

A useful reference point for contextualizing San Rafael's data is Retiro (Maule), identified as the nearest comparable commune within the same region based on reported incidence. In 2025, Retiro recorded approximately 5,277.1 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants, compared with 5,341.8 for San Rafael. The two communes share a similar incidence tier, making the comparison informative for understanding San Rafael's position relative to a concrete peer rather than an abstract national average. Retiro holds national rank 148 of 346.

Looking at the full CEAD time series, San Rafael recorded 3,036.9 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants in 2005. Since then, the reported rate has increased, reaching 5,341.8 in 2025. The multi-year series is displayed in the sparkline chart above, which shows annual values from 2005 through 2025. The most recent year of partial data (if available) is shown at reduced opacity to indicate that the figure is not yet complete. Year-on-year fluctuations are normal and can reflect changes in recording practices, population estimates, or law enforcement priorities rather than changes in underlying behavior.

The data presented here are sourced from CEAD (Centro de Estudios y Análisis del Delito), the official Chilean body that compiles police-reported crime statistics. All figures represent reported incidents — actual incidence may differ due to under-reporting, which varies by crime type and territory. The 2025 rate of 5,341.8 incidents per 100,000 inhabitants for San Rafael reflects the most recent complete annual data available at the time of this publication. For more information on methodology and the rate-per-100,000 definition, see the methodology section.